I wouldn’t trust a poll with +/-7.7% MOE. Prop. 1 may not pass, but this poll will not have been a predictor since the statistical noise is too great.

The poll is telling us that with 95% confidence:

The YES vote is between 33.3% and 48.7%
The NO vote is between 42.3% and 56.7%
The UNDECIDED vote is between 3.3% and 17.7%

Now, we’d like to see YES ahead. But, look, if you’re sampling 162 people there’s definitely a chance that you’re going to under-sample Seattle, under-sample King County as a whole, and under-sample Pierce County. These facts aren’t necessarily over-sights just the effects of how the poll is conducted.

I mean, come on. Abuses of what?

I read more about 1029, and no longer support it.

The night before an election is the best time to position yourself so that if they win, you take them down a peg and if they lose, you spit in their faces.

And KIRO just loves doing that to transit.

http://threetreejournal.blogspot.com/2008/10/puget-sound-grassroots-support-for-mass.html

On the other hand (unfortunately), we are the only Yes on Prop 1 yard sign in a neighborhood otherwise strongly to Obama/Biden and Gregoire. Hopefully the presence or lack of yard signage is indicative of nothing.

David

But the Stranger told us this one would pass, so I’m happy and sure we’ll win by 10%.

Speaking of signs, it gives me great pleasure that I have not seen one single anti-prop 1 sign this year. In North Seattle and Bellevue the pro-signs are certainly all over the place.

I respect, and largely sympathize with, your general skepticism of initiatives. I don’t mean to pigeonhole or excommunicate anyone.

However, my limited attention to I-1000 has shown liberal organizations (The Stranger, 37th District Democrats) in favor and socially conservative ones (the Catholic Church) opposed. I-1029 is sponsored by SEIU, which in my opinion is all you have to know.

I stand by my initial characterization of each initiative, while readily conceding that there are many exceptions.

1000: What the law permits, the law demands. You already have the right to get morphined up for your last week or two, this really only puts pressure on old people who feel bad about being a burden to off themselves.
1029: Expensive and unnecessary as we slide into a downturn… if this were a good idea, it would already be law because we have a state government whose job it is to monitor this sort of thing.
985 I obviously don’t need to discuss here.

Anyway I’m pretty happy with this result as it looks like Gregoire is winning. It’s too bad that Prop 1 is so close but remember, it’s only in a restricted portion of the state so the polling sample is probably really low. Also I guess maybe it’s the economy’s fault.