News roundup: potentially grim

Sound Transit double decker bus servicing downtown Seattle on 5th avenue during Covid 19 shut down.
Bless you, PatricksMercy, for posting to the Flickr pool during the pandemic.

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Metro restores some trips, ridership still way down

Rapid Ride Metro Transit Bus reticulated bus headed to Seattle, WA from Edmonds. WA via Hwy 99 Aurora Ave
PatricksMercy/Flickr

In response to “crowding” (by current standards) on some routes, Metro is restoring some trips this week on weekdays from 10am to 5pm:

Based on operator availability, we are dedicating roughly 15 additional buses starting today to six routes where coaches are either reaching capacity or passing up customers to maintain social distancing guidelines. These high-demand routes include:

  • Route 7
  • Route 36
  • Route 180
  • RapidRide A
  • RapidRide D
  • RapidRide E

The buses have been added on weekdays between 10 a.m. and 5 p.m., as that period has the highest ridership and most reports of pass-ups.

Metro continues to demonstrate operational flexibility that some observers, including me, thought was not in its nature. Other than the D, these are among the routes that have seen the smallest ridership drops, presumably because of transit-dependent riders and “essential” but not virtualizable jobs.

Last week Metro also released ridership numbers for the week ending May 1. Overall weekday boardings are at 105,000, or a 75% decrease from 2019. Not surprisingly, the drop is deepest in the weekday peaks, with late-night and weekend ridership declining much more gently. Meanwhile, bus service has dropped only 27%, meaning the average bus has almost three times fewer riders.

Move Seattle’s 1st quarter

We just got the annual report, but now there’s an update for SDOT’s 1st quarter projects (full report here). Covid-19 looms over everything, but the agency spent only about 2/3 of its budget mostly because of more quotidian delays: weather, permitting, and finding unexpected stuff underground.

RapidRide G (SDOT)

There’s tons of data on safety, sidewalks, bike improvements, and so on, but let’s cut straight to the transit.

The big corridor projects are divided into “Vision Zero” (safety) projects, “Transit-Plus” speed and reliability improvements, Rapid Ride, and the Burke Gilman Missing Link. You may recall that in 2019 none of the two transit categories had started digging yet. That’s still the case, but RapidRide H (Delridge) is accepting bids and expects to accept a bit this quarter. RapidRide G has completed design and is now dancing with the FTA.

Beyond transit, Missing Link construction started.

SDOT’s highly successful transit spot improvements program was right on schedule, finishing 5 projects this quarter out of 20 planned for 2020. They were:

  • 8th Ave/James St rear door pad
  • 24th Ave E/E Dearborn St curb restrictions at bus zone
  • Lenora St, between 4th-6th Ave RapidRide bus zone improvement
  • Airport Way S/S Royal Brougham, intersection improvement
  • 15th Ave NW/NW 65th St bus zone safety improvement

The City also broke ground on the Northgate pedestrian bridge, and the Lander Street overpass continues to rise.

The plan is still to start construction on RR G and H this year, though obviously the pandemic has unpredicable impacts.

News roundup: in trouble

Gig Cars Awaiting Deployment
“Gig Cars Awaiting Deployment”, by Atomic Taco (Flickr)

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Opportunity cost of a parking garage

Auburn (Google Maps)

Dan’s report on the ever-increasing cost of Sounder parking garages demands a little rough math. The per-space arithmetic is damning enough. But the opportunity costs are the practical reason to hope for something better.

The most expensive of these is Auburn Station, which is now to cost $120m in year of expenditure (YOE) dollars for 675 spaces (555 net new). Generous assumptions about inflation [1] make this $107m in current dollars. If this money were instead spread over 30 years for bus routes to Sounder, it would allow 10 additional buses to serve the Auburn area during Sounder operating times [2]. A similar, though slightly less dramatic, story plays out at the other stations. The potential of these buses to improve several different outcomes is an exercise for the reader.

In my earlier days, this would be an occasion to slam the stupidity of the people in the charge. But in my thirteenth year of doing this, I know that things like this happen because of incentives:

Continue reading “Opportunity cost of a parking garage”

Metro introduces passenger limits

As ridership plummets and the union advocates for tougher safety precautions, Metro is following the lead of other agencies and limiting the number of people on a bus.

Metro

You may have to wait for the next one if the bus exceeds these limits, although the driver is supposed to take everyone at the stop when he or she does stop, regardless of the limit.

Only one ADA rider is allowed at a time. However, Metro is expanding Access eligibility to make up for it. Vanpools are also capped at 2-3 people.

Rethinking ST3?

Sound Transit

Sound Transit 3, from its inception, has been a compromise between various regional interests. With likely economic trouble and a failed bridge to West Seattle, some people are interested in reopening the bargain.

Some of these people never liked taxes for transit in the first place, and seek a rhetorical opening for a redo. Others sincerely want good transit outcomes, and think that a retry might improve those outcomes. Still others are broadly supportive of Sound Transit but see an opportunity to address other priorities.

There isn’t much to say about people who don’t think transit is important, except that other parties should pay attention to who their friends are. Some people helping to tear down today’s plan won’t be there to build the next one.

Continue reading “Rethinking ST3?”

News roundup: bad news

NB 1st and Lander King County Metro bus stop sign
LB Bryce/Flickr

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News roundup: smart thoughts

Seattle Metro Bus in Bellevue, WA. New Modern Electric buses are now replacing the dirty diesel polluting buses.
PatricksMercy/flickr

With the cuts more or less done for now, its getting slooooow in the transitsphere:

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It’s not too late for a November transit measure

King County Metro
Busologist/Flickr

A lifetime ago, King County floated a countywide 0.2% sales tax increase for the August ballot, to replace Seattle’s expiring Transportation Benefit District (TBD) and expand its benefits to rest of the county. Weeks later, King County Transportation Chair Claudia Balducci had to shelve it as the virus ate everything.

The last day to file a measure for the November election is August 4th. To make that date, committee work would have to start no later than mid-July. It’s worthless to speculate about conditions in mid-July, but it’s also not hard to imagine how a measure would be both compelling and plausible.

The policy case for raising transit spending is strong independent of economic conditions. With strong growth, the robust transit network we don’t yet have countywide is critical to building environmentally sensible living and travel patterns. Seattle’s TBD has dramatically improved the accessibility of frequent transit while frequent suburban lines are scarce. Conversely, when sales taxes implode, transit becomes even harder to use.

Continue reading “It’s not too late for a November transit measure”

News roundup: by reservation only

King County Metro
Busologist/Flickr

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Move Seattle’s 2019 Annual Report

As the 9 year, $900m Move Seattle levy nears its halfway mark this year, it’s a good time to take stock of what small projects are already done, and if the big-ticket items are on track. SDOT’s Annual Report provides some clues.

SDOT

The 2018 Levy Assessment recalibrated SDOT’s objectives given spiraling costs and the $300m Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) lawsuit ($). SDOT met or exceeded 30 of the 32 targets it set at the beginning of the year.

Through 2019, SDOT had spent $324m in Move Seattle funds to match another $321m from other sources for those projects. Spending remains under budget, partly because most construction work is happening later than planned.

SDOT listed its 2019 highlights as:

Continue reading “Move Seattle’s 2019 Annual Report”

News roundup: finally

Sound Transit Express
Busologist/Flickr

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West Seattle Bridge closed; Metro scrambles

West Seattle Bridge 01

In what would have counted as a transportation catastrophe were it not for the much bigger ongoing catastrophe, SDOT discovered “accelerated concrete cracking” in the West Seattle Bridge yesterday. They closed it indefinitely to all traffic 7pm Monday.

Mike Lindblom reports the repairs will take on the order of months ($). Metro posted a transit alert for affected routes (also Delridge routes), which basically amounts to staying on the low bridge and not missing any stops. The 21 Local does miss a stop in the area, as will the 37 when it returns from pandemic hiatus. Even the low bridge will be closed to all but transit, freight, and emergency vehicles.

The hits just keep coming for long-suffering West Seattle bus riders, but this one may struggle to be noticed. If there’s a silver lining, it’s that SDOT is avoiding the WSDOT mentality of removing transit priority when it’s most needed. Quick action while traffic volumes are low, and new transit priority, are about the best possible reaction from officials confronted with this problem.

Another Link closure this weekend; “normal” service Monday

Sound Transit - Central Link Light Rail

The contractor has fixed last weekend’s failed electrical test. There will be an additional Link closure this weekend “for final testing and safety certification of the new trackwork and systems,” says ST’s David Jackson. Once again, shuttle buses will run between Sodo and Capitol Hill.

” Monday we should return to two-track service in the downtown Seattle tunnel with no transfer required,” he added, pending any more test failures. However, reduced pandemic volumes will leave Link at 14-minute headways indefinitely.

On a related note, Link construction has suffered no schedule slippage due to the pandemic, according to Jackson. “Sound Transit is actively working with the contractors and construction management teams on all our projects to assure that public health guidelines are being followed,” he said.