Don’t Be a Victim of Traffic

Over at I Am Seattle Traffic (where I co-blog) there’s a great piece about what exactly traffic is:

Something occured to me the other day and that may or may not be obvious to everyone else: Each day’s traffic is new.

Think about it. Traffic isn’t something that just exists and we join and leave it each day. It actually stops existing every night, and then the next morning it begins fresh again. We create repetitive traffic with our routines and jobs, so it gives the illusion of a constant problem.

We choose every day to create traffic. It is a decision we make to get into our cars (usually alone) and search for a somewhat-less-congested route to work. We are actively contributing to traffic simply by being on the road. Even if you are riding the bus to work, you are still creating traffic, albeit less than if you were driving.

It’s important to think about congestion: it’s the fault of all the people on the road, including you! They are the people who have created the traffic.

Capitol Hill Station Meeting

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

Via my inbox, a meeting coming up on the design of the Capitol Hill light rail station. The station will be a major, major change for the neighborhood. So all you hipsters who plan to still be living there in 2016 or so — make sure your voice is heard!

Between the streetcar down Broadway and this, expect the neighborhood to resemble a war zone for the next few years. (Though residents of Martin Luther King, Jr. Way will no doubt tell you that yer gettin’ off easy.)

COMMUNITY MEETING

Tuesday, June 12, 2007
6:00 – 8:00 PM

Seattle Central Community College Room 1110

SOUND TRANSIT CAPITOL HILL STATION UPDATE

The Capitol Hill Chamber of Commerce and the Capitol Hill Neighborhood
Plan Stewardship Council are hosting a meeting regarding the planned
Capitol Hill station for Sound Transit’s regional light rail. Sound
Transit will present its current plans for the station entrances,
property acquisition and relocation, and construction timeline. The
Chamber and Stewardship Council will outline community driven
principles for the station, related construction impacts, and
subsequent redevelopment.

In late 2006, the Sound Transit Board authorized work to design and
construct the “University Link” which extends light rail from Downtown
to the University of Washington including a station in the heart of
Capitol Hill. This station, located on the east side of Broadway
between John and Denny, is projected to have 12,000 boardings a day.
Since the first of the year Sound Transit has been working on their
plans for the Capitol Hill station and has initiated land acquisition
and relocation. Their current timeframe calls for a seven year
construction period.

Sound Transit is now coming. The Chamber and the Stewardship Council
recognize the benefits to the neighborhood and Broadway of improving
connections to Downtown, the UW and the region as well as the
potential for regional light rail to improve transportation mobility.
However, it is also recognized that the station and subsequent
redevelopment on Sound Transit land is a “hundred year” decision for
the Capitol Hill community. From a neighborhood perspective it is
critical the station entrances are appropriately designed and located,
construction period impacts are addressed, and subsequent
redevelopment supports mixed use buildings with strong retail on
Broadway and housing that serves a mix of incomes. This is the
critical decision making period.

The meeting will have a short presentation, question and answer
period, and an open house component for your questions and comments.

More 2057

Carless in Seattle wrote a well thought-out post about the whole debt in 2057 issue. He asks us to think about how long these transit investments will be useful:

[T]unnels and railways, these can last for decades. For example, parts of the London Underground and Manhattan Subway are over 150 years old.

The NY/NJ Path tunnels—the first ever built under the Hudson River—were completed 100 years ago in 1908, and are still in use. Construction on those tunnels, started in 1874 by a private company, cost $50-$60mm in 1908 dollars (~$1 billion) and required lots of creative financing.

Exactly! If you really think about it, the people who will be working and paying the bonds off in 2057 will probably be benefiting so much from the transit, probably more than those working right now, and will be happy to pay some of their share.

Best / Worst Bus Routes?


I want to take nominations on what people think are the best and worst Metro and Sound Transit Routes.

To me, the 545 is one of the best. It comes every 10 minutes or so during peak hours, is usually on time, has wi-fi on some buses, and actually beats driving in terms of commute length much of the time. The others would be the old 72, but now that it goes through SLU and Eastlake its a whole lot slower, and the 8 which tends to be impressively reliable.

How about worst lines? The 44 is awful. Never on time, and usually travels in packs of two or three. It was actually worse in the days of the old 43 that went all the way from downtown to Ballard through the UD and Wallingford. The 48 can also be a nightmare.

Tell me your opinions!

BRT


The Overhead Wire Blog had this good post about BRT myths and reality. Basically, he’s said what I have been saying, that BRT is basically just plain bus unless you spend so much money that you might as well make rail anyway.

The really important thing is that, generally, when you are promised BRT, you ended up with something about like the 545: an absolutely awesome bus line, but one that still gets stuck in some of the worst traffic in the region. Not a lot like a system that can bypass traffic and cross similar distances in eight or nine minutes rather than the 30 minutes it takes the 545.

The money quote is this one:

10. I will continue this list at some point because i haven’t really made half the points i’d like to but the bottom line is this. BRT is just bus repackaged transit pushed by folks that don’t really like transit to begin with. They want it to stay for the poor so why not give the poor a third world system. Well we need to step up and invest like China, Japan, and Europe.

Light Rail Pics

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

Flickr User Mac_Photography has some great photos of light rail testing in SoDo. It’s worth a click. Note, though, that they’re only testing single cars. Once in operation, the line will have several cars strung together.

More on the Mortgage Analogy

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

Stefan Sharkansky derides the mortgage analogy:

The analogy to a home mortgage is absurd. Owning a home is a voluntary proposition and you can sell the home when you choose to. With the Sound Transit boondoggle, many of the people who vote for it won’t be paying for it and vice versa. And if it doesn’t suit our needs? Then it’s a moneypit, from which there’s no escape.

Mr. Sharkansky seems to take the analogy too far. Of course financing a light rail system is not at all like owning a home. The point of the analogy is simply to put the numbers in perspective. Most all major purchases in life –from trains to cars to houses to big-screen TVs — require some form of credit. But rarely do we include the finance charges when we talk about the overall costs.

Sound Politics being a conservative blog, the conservative case for transit is worth repeating in this context.

Cocktails and Commuting

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

Bus Chick is in awe by New York transit riders, who get to buy a cocktail before starting their evening commute. The MTA (New York’s transit authority) threatened to ban the practice, citing concerns about commuters drinking and then getting in their cars when they got to their station.

This is one of the great pleasures of the Long Island (and Metro North) Rail Road. There’s a transit employee working the bar right on the platform where, during the evening rush hour, you can order a drink and step into your train. It’s brilliant. Especially if you’re about to board a 2-hour train to the Hamptons on a Friday night.

I fondly remember brown-bagging a six pack on my way in to Madison Square Garden to see a show. The train conducters tolerated it, so long as you didn’t get rowdy (or put your feet on up on the seats).

If you recall, the Campbell Scott’s character in Singles was trying to build a “supertrain” in Seattle that served drinks.

“People like their cars,” the fictional mayor (Tom Skerritt) told him, dismissing the idea.

Sad, but true. Maybe if they got used to the idea of cocktails on the train, they’d change their mind. As Josh Feit noted this weekend, public transit improves ones ability to party without worrying about getting behind the wheel. That’s something we should all be able to get behind.

Financing Light Rail

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

Mike Lindblom has a piece with some pretty solid reporting on Sound Transit’s financing plan, one that puts to rest the questions we raised in April about the way in which the costs of the rail line were being reported. I highly recommend you read the whole thing.

As a bonus, either Lindblom or Sound Transit’s Ric Ilgenfritz has adopted our home mortgage analogy:

By then, Sound Transit’s spending would exceed $37 billion, counting inflation and interest charges.

Agency leaders say a more accurate number is $10.8 billion, representing the cost of construction and trains in 2006 dollars.

As with a home mortgage, it makes sense for voters to focus on the current sales price, said spokesman Ric Ilgenfritz. People who cite the long-term, inflated numbers “make the cost seem misleadingly high,” Sound Transit says.

Indeed. Citing the full costs only makes sense if you think in 2027 dollars, which most people don’t.

Update:Bradley Meacham adds, “[t]he true cost isn’t the debt to pay for the projects, which may still be less than perfect. It’s the crippling cost of — yet again — doing nothing.”

Light Rail Debt

Update
At least the article from the times included some awesome rail photos.


Dan Savage went off on this piece, basically saying that Sound Transit is getting an easier ride on it’s long-term numbers than the monorail did. Comparing Light Rail to the monorail is something that both transit opponents and proponents do, and it’s completely inaccurate. The fact is that whether or not the monorail was a disaster, the comparison is inapt because the Monorail was a in-city rail while Sound Transit is a regional development.

People are complaining about Sound Transit’s debt because they think the fifty year time frame is too long. (Where were these people when Safeco Field was built?) If you look at the chart to the right, ST2 will cost $37.9 billion by 2057. But fifty years from now $1 will buy like 10¢ worth of goods. Look at this tool. I put $1 in from 1955 and got this back:

In 2005, $1.00 from 1955 is worth:

$7.29 using the Consumer Price Index
$6.01 using the GDP deflator
$9.90 using the value of consumer bundle
$9.92 using the unskilled wage
$16.67 using the nominal GDP per capita
$30.03 using the relative share of GDP

Inflated numbers lead to hysteria because $1 can look like $6~$30 in fifty years. A house in Wallingford cost about $3K in 1950, now it’s close to a million. That’s why its important to show the numbers in 2007 dollars, not in nominal future dollars.

Agency leaders say a more accurate number is $10.8 billion, representing the cost of construction and trains in 2006 dollars.

As with a home mortgage, it makes sense for voters to focus on the current sales price, said spokesman Ric Ilgenfritz. People who cite the long-term, inflated numbers “make the cost seem misleadingly high,” Sound Transit says.

That’s my feeling. We all wanted a monorail but, let’s face it, the monorail failed because of public hysteria and because they didn’t play nice with local politicians. Sound Transit is definitely on the right side on the later, let’s not play games with the numbers trying to recreate the former.

A snapshot of the Monorail’s debt-service compared to ST1, ST2 and a typical home loan: