Link ridership set another record in June, with an average weekday ridership of 23,396 (Saturday 17,510; Sunday 13,919), and a daily range of 9,827 to 28,820. This represents a 7.5% increase over May’s average of 21,774, and a 16% increase over April’s 20,129. June represented the sixth straight month of >5% month-over-month growth. Even with the usual caveats regarding sampling and modeling error, this is very encouraging news.
Ridership tends to follow a logistic growth model, in which ridership grows exponentially until it slows as it approaches a theoretical saturation point. We’ll probably see ridership stabilize at its “natural level” well before University Link restarts the growth cycle, but it will be exciting to see just what that level is. In the meantime, even with seasonal variations, we are likely to see continued year-over-year growth. (Just for fun, a continued 7% rate of growth would yield ridership of 35,000 by the end of the year.)