Cars: Not Cool, Really Expensive!

The US will spend $440 billion on gas this year, $1,465 per person, and more than $2,100 per driver. With gas prices at more than $3.28 on average nationwide, the New York Times is demanding stricter fuel standards again, just four months after they were tightened for the first time in 30 years. It’s kind of obvious the changes were too little, too late and won’t make much of a difference. The Times also seems to call for a higher gas tax, seeing as we pay so little relative to the rest of the world.

Meanwhile, in Japan, the youth there aren’t even interested in cars. According to the Wall Street Journal:

Unlike their parents’ generation, which viewed cars as the passport to freedom and higher social status, the Internet-connected Japanese youths today look to cars with indifference, according to market research by the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association and Nissan. Having grown up with the Internet, they no longer depend on a car for shopping, entertainment and socializing and prefer to spend their money in other ways.

A survey last year of 1,700 Japanese in their 20s and 30s by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Japan’s biggest business newspaper, discovered that only 25% of Japanese men in their 20s wanted a car, down from 48% in 2000. The manufacturers’ association found that men 29 years old and younger made up 11% of Japanese drivers in 2005, roughly half the size of that group in 1993.

The streets of Harajuku are filled with consumers like 20-year-old Kazuto Matsui. “Young people can borrow their parents’ car, and I think they’d rather spend money on PCs or iPods than cars,” says the student with shaggy hair who is in no rush to get a driver’s license. While Mr. Matsui says he may want a car some day, “trains will do” for now.

Too bad we don’t have trains yet, many people my age (mid-twenties) that I talked to are interested in ditching their cars but don’t really have a choice sometimes. What would be interesting to see, is that now as teens are waiting longer to drive, whether in 10 years, when those kids are in their mid-to-late-twenties, they’ll drive less than my generation. I bet they will, and with more efficient cars, the state might get to greenhouse gas goals without unpopular driver-limit mechanisms.

Electric Cars

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

After watching Who Killed the Electric Car? the other night, I’ve posted some thoughts about electric vehicles here.

This comes just as Subaru and the New York Power Authority have commenced testing on Subaru’s new R1e for potential sale in the US.

Southbound Sounder

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

The “reverse-commute” Seattle-to-Tacoma Sounder train has posted pretty tepid numbers thusfar, but it has other benefits:

[ST Spokesperson Linda] Robson said the reverse commute allows the agency to offer a fifth northbound train in the morning despite having room to house only four trains at a time in Tacoma. The fifth train starts in Seattle and picks up passengers on its way to Tacoma before heading north again.

Robson said the train gives commuters another option besides driving or taking the bus. And she said Tacoma’s growing economy was a factor in the decision to begin the service.

The number of passengers heading south is relatively small.

In January an average of 38 people boarded the southbound train each morning. By comparison, the new northbound train departing Tacoma at 5 a.m. saw an average of 509 passengers in January.

Robson said the number of reverse-commute passengers is about what the agency expected. But she thinks it will grow as the agency expands service.

Sound Transit will launch another reverse-commute train – along with a sixth northbound morning train – in September. Early next year it plans to add a seventh northbound morning commute trip.

We’re still far away from the 30 trains a day that we were originally promised, and both BNSF and ST share some of the blame for not being able to meet that promise.

Still, Sounder’s making great strides. If, in fact, we’re not going to build light rail to Tacoma, it makes sense to really invest in the Sounder system, with more dedicated rights-of-way, switches, and grade-separation. Clearly that’s a big piece of the so-called “ST2.1,” so we’re getting there.

Even More Tacoma Streetcars

I’ve been thinking more and more about the Tacoma streetcars, and the more I think about it, the more I like the idea. So Pantograph Trolleypole pointed out that Portland built six track-miles of streetcar for $56 million. In the latest ST2 proposal, Sound Transit looks like it might invest $222 million on express buses in the South Corridor. If equal proportions come from South King and from Pierce, and assuming Pierce is 60% of the population of the South Corridor (it’s a bit more) that would be $141 million for Express Bus. At that price, it’s almost 18 track-miles of streetcar, enough for a 6th Ave extension, a Portland Ave extension, and a lot more. That doesn’t event include the Tacoma General Hospital extension already planned. Here’s another analysis comparing a potential Tacoma streetcar system’s cost to ones being built in New Orleans and Washington D.C. The cost in that piece are less than the Portland system.

Consider the economic importance of keeping employers like Russell Investments in Tacoma, and the opportunities to add new employers in Downtown Tacoma, and I think the investment might payoff more in the long run than express bus service.

I don’t know whether the modern streetcar proposal would get Federal funding, and it may take more funding sources than just cutting express bus, but I’m coming around to the idea that there are ways to make a larger streetcar investment work out for ST2 for Tacoma.

Ferries Round-Up

Washington State Ferries has begun running ads, and has made almost $165,000 in three months with four advertisers. They are slowly ramping up the ads across the state, now with just a few ads at Colman Dock and Bainbridge terminal. I’ve always thought ads on transit was a quick and easy way to make up. Down in San Francisco, BART, which is relatively light on the ads compared to trains in Europe or Japan, makes 14% of its operating revenue from advertising.

New Plans for the Mukilteo ferry terminal are smaller, and don’t have the parking garage the original did. The original plan was for a $148 million terminal with over-the-water holding lanes, and a commuter garage. There will still be some Sound Transit parking, and the connector for Sounder. But more of the land near the beach will be used for the holding lanes, so there will be less development near the Terminal.

Washington State Ferry Chief is holding public meetings over the next month to introduce the new Assistant Secretary of WSDOT, David Moseley. The new ferry chief is holding a meet-and-greet.

Meetings will be 6:30 to 8:30 p.m. with the exception of San Juan Islands at Friday Harbor, which will be 5:30 to 7:30 p.m. due to the sailing schedule.

  • Monday, March 24 – Bainbridge Commons, 402 Brien Drive, Bainbridge Island
  • Tuesday, March 25 – Kingston Yacht Club, 25915 Washington Blvd. NE, Kingston
  • Wednesday, March 26 – South Colby Elementary, 3281 Banner Rd. SE, Southworth
  • Thursday, March 27 – Camp Casey, Auditorium B, 1276 Engle Rd., Coupeville
  • Monday, March 31 – Norm Dicks Gov. Center Meeting Room, 345 6th St., Suite 100, Bremerton
  • Tuesday, April 1 – City Hall Council Chambers, 904 6th St., Anacortes
  • Wednesday, April 2 – Mullis Senior Center, 589 Nash St., Friday Harbor
  • Thursday, April 3 – McMurray Middle School Multi-Purpose Room, 9329 SW Cemetery Rd., Vashon Island

Bent Plates

This post originally appeared on Orphan Road.

New photographs suggest that the support plates on Minneapolis’ I-35W bridge may have been bending as early as 2003, but the regular inspections missed it. Something to think about after last weekend’s routine viaduct maintenance…

Transit Information Technology Survey

The transit-obsessed at the UW are considering some projects that would improve or add to innovations like the mybus website.

Besides the fact that UW is a pretty good school, it’s not surprising that a Seattle institution would be a leader in creating all these tools. After all, they’re necessary for most people to decipher byzantine bus routing and scheduling. In other cities, people just take the train with its comprehensible route map and short wait times.

Feel free to leave your preferences in the comments, where the students can read them:

A group of students from UW are about to start on some cool transit information technology projects. We have a bunch of ideas on what to do and would like feedback from people on what they would use most or which of our ideas would be the most useful to the general public. So far we have created a sample of one of these ideas, but we would like feedback before we move forward with other projects.

Our ideas include:

1. One Bus Away

In this application, people will be able to enter an address or click on a google map and be able to see where their nearby bus routes go and what destinations are served along the route. We have created a basic version of this website for destinations in Seattle. Here is a link to that website.

2. Commute Calculator

People will be able to enter an address and then our program would tell them the average travel times via car or bus to major employment centers. Users could also just enter their current work address as well. This application could also show the cost to use transit compared to the cost of using a car.

3. Redo BusMonster

In this application we would beef up bus-monster with more graphics and more tools for people to use. We aren’t sure about what features we will add yet, but they will be cool.

4. Advertising with real-time info

Here we would try to start an advertising business with mybus arrival times and ads displayed in prominent storefront windows. We would rent unused space by windows in businesses next to a bus stop. Then we would charge other companies to be able to advertise on our computer screens which would switch between real-time bus arrival times for perhaps 30 seconds and then business ads for 30 seconds.

Thanks in advance for giving us feedback.

Congestion Pricing

This Op-ed does a great job explaining the history of the brand of congestion pricing that is coming out of Washington. It’s interesting to note that environmental groups that think congestion pricing is the solution to traffic problems are on the same side of the fight with neocons who think that no public money should be spent on transportation. It’s also scary to think that the money for congestion pricing studies are coming straight out of federal bus service money.
It’s a good read.

More Tacoma Streetcars

Update Below
Andrew Austin at the Bus Stops Here argues that the Tacoma Streetcar proposal is regional partially in response to my post about the subject. His argument is basically that the streetcars are cheaper than light rail, and the streetcars are pro-Pierce County and pro-Tacoma rather compared to Sounder or Express buses which favor Seattle as an employment center.

Andrew is off on the streetcars being cheaper than Tacoma Link, he claims that “using the same amount of money [as extending the streetcar to Tacoma General], extending the LINK with streetcar at-grade technology, and taking it to Stadium, 6th Ave., and Portland Ave., would be a better deal.” That’s impossible. Tacoma Link is the exact same type of streetcar the, made by the exact same company, as the Seattle streetcar is. Tacoma Link is not the same technology as Central Link which has much larger and faster cars. So it wouldn’t be cheaper, it’d be exactly the same cost, since it’d be exactly the same thing.

Secondly, the argument that building more streetcars would be good for Tacoma and could help Pierce County from “hav[ing] e to ship 30% of our brain power and workers to Seattle forever” goes completely against the notion that it is regional. I could argue that Seattle shouldn’t rebuild the 520 to ship workers to Redmond (though traffic there is about 50/50 each way), and the argument is clearly against regionalism.

I think the Tacoma Streetcar system is an awesome idea, and if Pierce County voters, about a third of whom live in Tacoma, feel that is the best use of their Sound Transit dollars they should get it. But it’s important to keep the details straight.

Hat Tip to Erik from Tacoma Urbanist.
Update
An anonymous commentor asked why I hate the Tacoma streetcars. I don’t, I’m 100% for them. I just am not sure if the rest of Pierce County would want to see their ST2 money spent on those streetcars. If Pierce County does, then they should absolutely be a part of the proposal. I like Streetcars a whole lot more than express buses.

Friends of Seattle Forum

Update, see below.

Last night, I went to the Friends of Seattle Forum at what was the old Sit’N Spin and is now the Spitfire bar. There was a panel with Jan Drago, Seattle City Council member, Mike O’Brien from the Sierra Club Cascade Chapter, Rob Johnson from Transportation Choices, and Greg Walker from Sound Transit. It was moderated by CR Douglas, who writes for Crosscut. I didn’t learn a tremendous amount, but I did notice the following:

  • It’s still not obvious that ST will be back on the ballot this year. I asked Dow Constantine and he said that he wanted it to be, which is the same thing the mayor told me at his barbecue, but others on the board, including Snohomish Executive Aaron Reardon (he wasn’t there, I didn’t talk to him personally) were on the fence about it. Ron Sims is flat-out against it, apparently.
  • Mike O’Brien was non-commital about whether the Sierra Club would support ST2. He said they would support it if it were greenhouse-gas friendly. What was bizarre about the whole thing, was that when people asked him what that meant, he couldn’t come up with an answer rather instead said that Sound Transit would need to convince him. Every thing he said was vague, and it was clear that he did not have a good grasp of facts, figures or statistics. He said he lives in a single-family home and drives to work, but everyone else should take the bus. It was odd.
  • Jan Drago is very sharp, and had some interesting facts about the Bus Tunnel.
  • Greg Walker did have a good grasp of the facts, and did a great job explaining the Sound Transit position.
  • Rob and Mike both were enamored with congestion pricing, which I am sure will be a complete political disaster for whoever tries to implement it.
  • Will from Horse’s Ass is hilarious.

It was a great forum, and the Friends of Seattle did an awesome job. And it was cool to meet Carless in Seattle, see Frank again, and chat with others interested in transit in our area. FoS is looking for bloggers, so if any of you are interested, you should go over there and send a mail to them about it.

Update Will brought back to mind Jan Drago’s mention of the Discovery Institute’s plan for the transit downtown tunnel, which would start at the stadium area and go to north of downtown. I lost my business laughing, and I was laughing so hard I was shushed. What a complete waste of time, even talking about it. The Discovery Institute itself says it would cost more than $10 billion… as much as all the light rail in prop 1!