Sound Transit 3 Package Sizes

Dan’s report on the Senate Transportation agreement illuminated poorly understood numbers associated with potential Sound Transit 3 taxes and project budgets. In spite of his noble efforts to explain it, there is evidently quite a bit of confusion remaining.

There are two separate planning processes that both have a $15 billion figure in them, and both are expressed in Year of Expenditure (YOE) dollars, but they aren’t directly related.

The first is a tax plan. Sound Transit asked for enough authority to levy as much as $15 billion over 15 years from sales tax, property tax, and Motor Vehicle Excise Tax (MVET). Although it’s conceivable they can use the full amount in a 2016 ballot measure, it’s scaled for flexibility both in the overall package size and in the mix of taxes, so that the Board can optimize chances of a successful vote.

The second is a 15-year project list and budget. The Board used a $15 billion capital program as an example, chosen somewhat arbitrarily from the size of Sound Transit 2. Because any program would include lots of bonds, a given 15-year tax package size funds a larger capital program. ST spokesman Geoff Patrick gave the example that $9 billion of taxes funds $15 billion of projects.

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Senators Agree to Transportation Package with ST3 Authorization

A bipartisan group of Senators yesterday announced that they had reached agreement on most elements of a transportation package that included authorization for Sound Transit 3. The authorized tax levels were lower than the Sound Transit request, which limits the potential size of the package and increases the reliance on sales tax. However, the agreement would still allow the agency to proceed with a package roughly the size of Sound Transit 2 (ST2).

The Senate agreement would permit up to $11 billion in tax revenue over 15 years. There is some confusion resulting from there being two different $15 billion sums in the discussion. The original Sound Transit request is for $15 billion, would provides room for the Board to explore which tax types are least unpopular and find the optimal package size.

The second $15 billion is a potential overall capital project package size, which ST staff used in an exercise and Martin speculatively mapped to projects. Staff picked this number because it was the same size as ST2 and therefore considered politically practical, but the ST board has not decided on the package’s size. Due to bond financing, a $15 billion package requires about $9 billion in taxing authority.

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Presidents’ Day Service Levels

Mt. Rushmore
Mt. Rushmore

This coming Monday, February 16, is not only the first weekday in King County Metro Transit’s, Sound Transit’s, Pierce Transit’s, Community Transit’s, and Intercity Transit’s service change, but it is also Presidents Day.

Metro will be running a “Weekday & No UW” schedule (which really means reduced runs on certain UW routes).

Sound Transit will be running regular weekday schedules on ST Express and Sounder. However, Central Link will be running the Saturday schedule, and Tacoma Link will be running the Sunday schedule.

Pierce Transit, Intercity Transit, Everett Transit, the Seattle Monorail, the South Lake Union Streetcar, and Washington State Ferries will be running a regular weekday schedule.

Community Transit will run regular weekday levels on local service, but will only be running commuter routes 402, 413, 421, and 855.

Kitsap Transit will be running most services on a weekday schedule, except that certain buses serving the Puget Sound Naval Shipyard will not be operating.

The West Seattle and Vashon Water Taxis will not be in service.

News Roundup: 12 Weeks

Sounder Bruce (via Wikimedia)
Sounder Bruce (via Wikimedia)

This is an open thread.

Sounder to Olympia is Not Out of Reach

by BRIAN BUNDRIDGE

Sound Transit EMD F59PHI

For years, doubters have said that Sounder to Olympia is impossible, or prohibitively expensive. Recently a News Tribune article reported Senator Sam Hunt as saying it would be “eons away.” None of these objections are necessarily true.

Extending Sounder to Olympia is far easier than some many think, as they don’t realize that the Capital Division branch line from East Olympia into Downtown Olympia runs within walking distance to the Capitol. The former Lacey branch line (now Woodland Trail) that would have been the preferred route and served a far greater potential for ridership was ripped out nearly 10 years ago. To rebuild the Lacey branch line would be nearly cost prohibitive considering the bridge over I-5 would need to be rebuilt, and many homes on some parts of the former right of way would have to be condemned.

The Capital Division is a branch line that serves Olympia and the Port of Olympia with roughly 10 miles of total track. Tacoma Rail leases this route from Union Pacific on a long-term agreement and UP has hinted at selling this branch line. Sounder would use 7 miles of this line between East Olympia and Downtown Olympia.

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Seattle’s Streetcar Fare Proposal is a Step Backwards

Transfer mockup via Oran
Transfer mockup via Oran

A week ago, Publicola’s Darren Davis invited his readers to submit “impassioned, prosy comments” on the Seattle Department of Transportation’s fare change proposal for the one, soon to be two, streetcar lines the department manages. Intrigued, I decided to take Darren up on his idea, and drill into the details of SDOT’s proposal, to see if there were any devils worth writing about. It turned out there were.

SDOT’s fare proposal has four central components:

  1. Harmonizing the streetcar fare with Link Light Rail, by reducing the adult fare by a quarter, and raising the youth/senior fare by a quarter.
  2. Implementing the ORCA LIFT program, a regional reduced fare for low-income adults.
  3. Implementing a new, streetcar-only day pass, available from streetcar ticket machines.
  4. Ceasing the acceptance of the paper transfers issued on King County Metro buses. Transfer credit will be available only when using ORCA.

(Currently, streetcar-only day passes exist, but are sold only in advance, to bulk purchasers. The existing day pass is pretty obscure: I didn’t even know that fare media existed despite regularly using and writing about transit for the 4.5 years I’ve lived here. This is the first time Seattle will be selling streetcar day passes from ticket machines on the street, and for all practical purposes, this will be the first time the public will be exposed to them.)

Parts (1) and (2) of SDOT’s proposal, harmonizing single-ride fares, are grand ideas, and I support their implementation wholeheartedly. They achieve the stated purpose of the streetcar fare change, which is to enhance regional integration of transit, and give transit riders a more predictable, comprehensible experience.

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Feb 2015 service change brings long-term reroutes to western CD

The February, 2015 service change wasn’t expected to be all that exciting since June and September are when the big Prop 1 additions hit the streets. Western Central District residents, however, will see long-term reroutes on three major routes through the area beginning in early April. Metro is making these in conjunction with the 23rd Ave reconstruction being done by SDOT. The reroutes are expected to be in place from early April until approximately December, construction schedule permitting. As part of the street rebuild, 23rd Ave will generally be southbound only in the construction area; northbound traffic, including buses, will travel on Martin Luther King Jr Way. This will be the beginning of reroutes through the area. According to SDOT, these reroutes correspond to phase A of construction; phases B (E Cherry to E Union) and C (E Union to E John) are scheduled for 2016.

Since Metro doesn’t have maps published on its service change alert, I made some to show the changes.

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February Service Change Details

Bell Street Park, now with 25 fewer rush hour buses. (Photo by Oran).
Bell Street Park, now more parklike with 25 fewer rush hour buses. (Photo by Oran).

On Valentine’s Day, Metro and Sound Transit will implement their February service change, bringing a handful of small changes to the transit network. This is the last ‘quiet’ service change for a while, as upcoming service changes promise to be much more extensive. June will bring a taste of Prop 1 improvements, September will fully flesh out Prop 1 while restructuring tunnel service for ULink, and next March will bring the big ULink bus restructure. In the meantime, here’s what you can look forward to next week.

Metro 

  • Route 7: Tweaks the schedule to improve the Prentice Loop
  • Route 50: Reinstates the VA loop
  • Routes 55, 111, 114, and 143: These routes will no longer serve Bell, removing 25 buses from Bell Street Park during the PM peak.
  • Routes 193, 303: These two First Hill peak routes will have their last trips leave much later (7:40pm).
  • Route 204: Sees its evening service span expand by one hour.
  • Routes 212, 255, 312: Minor schedule changes.
  • DART 913: Route revision in Kent.
  • Route 628: A new peak-only route serving North Bend, Snoqualmie, and Issaquah Highlands.

Sound Transit

  • 522, 592: Minor schedule changes.
  • 590, 594, 595: Major schedule changes to better meet demand.
  • 574: Southbound frequency reduced from 15 to 20 minutes from 12-3pm.

Fare Changes (March 1)

  • Metro fares go up by $.25 across all fare categories except Access, which rises by $.50.
  • Link fares go up $.25.
  • The new Low-Income Fare, “ORCA Lift“, begins.

Construction Detours

In early April, routes 4, 8, and 48 will begin an 8-month detour, on which more this afternoon.